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Kapellen-Erft vs Krefeld-Fischeln

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kapellen-Erft play Krefeld-Fischeln in the Oberliga Niederrhein 2016/2017. Krefeld-Fischeln are favorites here. Recently, Kapellen-Erft averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.97 conceded. Krefeld-Fischeln averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2.59 conceded. In past meetings, Kapellen-Erft won 2, Krefeld-Fischeln won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2017 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Kapellen-Erft and 1.00 for Krefeld-Fischeln. This points to a Krefeld-Fischeln double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Kapellen-Erft
25%
Draws
60%
Krefeld-Fischeln
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Krefeld-Fischeln

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Kapellen-Erft picked up more points recently compared to Krefeld-Fischeln.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kapellen-Erft Clean Sheet 23%
Krefeld-Fischeln Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapellen-Erft Krefeld-Fischeln
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.97 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.57 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2017 Oberliga Niederrhein
Kapellen-Erft vs Krefeld-Fischeln
3:4
Nov 13, 2016 Oberliga Niederrhein
Krefeld-Fischeln vs Kapellen-Erft
2:4
Apr 24, 2016 Oberliga Niederrhein
Krefeld-Fischeln vs Kapellen-Erft
3:2
Oct 25, 2015 Oberliga Niederrhein
Kapellen-Erft vs Krefeld-Fischeln
2:2
Jun 7, 2015 Oberliga Niederrhein
Krefeld-Fischeln vs Kapellen-Erft
2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapellen-Erft 18 / 100
Krefeld-Fischeln 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapellen-Erft Krefeld-Fischeln

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krefeld-Fischeln Win (2)
Secondary Pick Krefeld-Fischeln & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kapellen-Erft attacking → ← attacking Krefeld-Fischeln

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapellen-Erft scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Krefeld-Fischeln let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Kapellen-Erft went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Krefeld-Fischeln lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 31
0.86 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
3.57 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uerdingen34275283:2086
2Schonnebeck34226671:4072
3Bocholt34199661:3566
4Krefeld-Fischeln341821479:7456
5SSVg Velbert341661265:4454
6Jahn Hiesfeld341661265:6054
7Homberg341581160:5153
8Germania Ratingen341631561:5451
9Dusseldorf-West341471356:5949
10Hilden341461467:6048
11TuRU Dusseldorf341351639:4944
12Baumberg341181576:6841
13SW Essen34991651:6536
14Cronenberger341051940:8735
15Meerbusch347101756:7431
16Kapellen-Erft34862048:7730
17Honnepel-Niedermormter345121746:7327
18Kray34672159:9125