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Kapfenberg vs BW Linz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga Alpenstadion, Kapfenberg
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Hofer M. In: Rostas J.
Out: Hofer M.
32' Event
Miskovic M.
Penalty Missed
33' Event
Oelz V.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Kapfenberg in this 2. Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kapfenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Kapfenberg
20%
Draws
61%
BW Linz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BW Linz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Kapfenberg haven't matched BW Linz's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on BW Linz taking it.
  • Regular 2. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 10%
BW Linz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapfenberg BW Linz
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 16
Draws 2 6
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 1.23 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs BW Linz
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 2. Liga
BW Linz vs Kapfenberg
2:0
Oct 22, 2022 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs BW Linz
2:4
May 22, 2022 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs BW Linz
0:0
Nov 20, 2021 2. Liga
BW Linz vs Kapfenberg
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapfenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Miskovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

BW Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Vucic R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapfenberg 10 / 100
BW Linz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapfenberg BW Linz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BW Linz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kapfenberg found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

BW Linz let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Kapfenberg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kapfenberg VS BW Linz
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapfenberg

(Home)
23 Oct
Kapfenberg
1 : 1
St. Polten
18 Oct
Sturm II
0 : 2
Kapfenberg
09 Oct
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Austria Vienna (Am)
24 Sept
Hartberg
5 : 0
Kapfenberg
18 Sept
Kapfenberg
3 : 4
Amstetten
Page 1 of 6

BW Linz

(Away)
23 Oct
A. Salzburg
0 : 1
BW Linz
17 Oct
BW Linz
4 : 1
FC Liefering
09 Oct
Amstetten
1 : 1
BW Linz
02 Oct
Salzburg
1 : 2
BW Linz
18 Sept
BW Linz
3 : 0
Admira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 10 8 1 1 26:6 25
2 First Vienna 10 8 1 1 21:9 25
3 Austria Vienna (Am) 10 6 1 3 17:13 19
4 Admira 10 6 0 4 13:10 18
5 Amstetten 10 4 5 1 18:14 17
6 A. Salzburg 10 5 1 4 17:14 16
7 Wacker Innsbruck 10 4 2 4 12:11 14
8 FC Liefering 10 4 2 4 20:22 14
9 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
10 ASK Voitsberg 10 3 3 4 19:19 12
11 SW Bregenz 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
12 St. Polten 10 3 2 5 8:10 11
13 Sturm II 10 2 2 6 16:24 8
14 Hogo Hertha Wels 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
15 Kapfenberg 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
16 Rapid Vienna II 10 2 1 7 10:22 7
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)