Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kapfenberg vs Hogo Hertha Wels

Austria Austria

OFB Cup Alpenstadion, Kapfenberg
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Brugger M. In: Sahin T.
Out: Brugger M.
53' Event
Sahin T.
62'
Sub
Hrustan H. In: Ojukwu E.
Out: Hrustan H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kapfenberg
15%
Draws
49%
Hogo Hertha Wels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hogo Hertha Wels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Hogo Hertha Wels carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Hogo Hertha Wels arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hogo Hertha Wels, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hogo Hertha Wels have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kapfenberg Clean Sheet 10%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kapfenberg Hogo Hertha Wels
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 OFB Cup
Kapfenberg vs Hogo Hertha Wels
0:1
Mar 13, 2026 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs Kapfenberg
3:1
Sep 12, 2025 2. Liga
Kapfenberg vs Hogo Hertha Wels
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kapfenberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hogo Hertha Wels Compare

Top Goalscorer Sahin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kapfenberg 30 / 100
Hogo Hertha Wels 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kapfenberg Hogo Hertha Wels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hogo Hertha Wels conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Hogo Hertha Wels lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Kapfenberg found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Kapfenberg VS Hogo Hertha Wels
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kapfenberg

(Home)
24 Sept
Hartberg
5 : 0
Kapfenberg
18 Sept
Kapfenberg
3 : 4
Amstetten
11 Sept
Admira
1 : 0
Kapfenberg
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Kapfenberg
2 : 1
BW Linz
Page 1 of 6

Hogo Hertha Wels

(Away)
18 Sept
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
First Vienna
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
04 Sept
Kapfenberg
0 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
28 Aug
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
Admira
21 Aug
Amstetten
1 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Treibach 1
Kapfenberg 4
Hohenems 1
Hogo Hertha Wels 2
Wiener Viktoria 1
Parndorf 3
Lauterach 1
Wolfsberger AC 5
Union Gurten 1
BW Linz 3
Reichenau 0
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 2
Admira 1
Wieselburg 0
Tirol 6
Traiskirchen 4
Bleiburg 0
Wiener 0
Austria Vienna 5
Vorwarts Steyr 1
Kuchl 0
SC Imst 1
Hartberg 3
Wals-Grunau 1
A. Salzburg 5
Mattersburg SV 2020 1
First Vienna 2
Atus Velden 1
A. Klagenfurt 2
Wienerberger 0
Rapid Vienna 3
FC Lustenau 1
Kitzbuhel 4
Donaufeld Wien 0
Grazer AK 4
Dietach 3
Bischofshofen 4
Leobendorf 0
Altach 1
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 2
Amstetten 1
SC Kalsdorf 0
LASK Linz 7
Schwaz 2
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 3
Dornbirn 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 3
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1
Kremser 0
A. Lustenau 1
Leoben 0
ASK Voitsberg 6
Seekirchen 0
Sturm Graz 3
Horn 1
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 2
Bad Leonfelden 0
SW Bregenz 5
Tillmitsch 1
St. Polten 2
SV Oberwart 1
Salzburg 7
1/16-finals
Kapfenberg 0
Hogo Hertha Wels 1
Parndorf 2
Wolfsberger AC 3
BW Linz 2
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 0
Tirol 4
Traiskirchen 0
Austria Vienna 6
Vorwarts Steyr 0
Hartberg 4
A. Salzburg 0
First Vienna 4
A. Klagenfurt 2
Rapid Vienna 5
Kitzbuhel 0
Grazer AK 2
Bischofshofen 0
Altach 7
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 1
LASK Linz 6
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 2
A. Lustenau 6
ASK Voitsberg 1
Sturm Graz 4
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 0
SW Bregenz 1
St. Polten 0
Salzburg 3
1/8-finals
Hogo Hertha Wels -
Wolfsberger AC -
Wacker Innsbruck -
Tirol -
Austria Vienna -
Hartberg -
First Vienna -
Rapid Vienna -
Grazer AK -
Altach -
LASK Linz -
Ried -
A. Lustenau -
Sturm Graz -
SW Bregenz -
Salzburg -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -