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Kaposvar vs Ajka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup Rákóczi Stadion, Kaposvár
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Hadaro V.
44' Event
Csizmadia Z.
46'
Sub
Gorog G. In: Gagyor D.
Out: Gorog G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kaposvar
20%
Draws
32%
Ajka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaposvar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaposvar come out ahead of Ajka on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Kaposvar taking it.
  • Kaposvar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kaposvar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 12%
Ajka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaposvar Ajka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Kaposvar vs Ajka
0:2
Apr 25, 2021 NB II.
Ajka vs Kaposvar
3:1
Nov 4, 2020 NB II.
Kaposvar vs Ajka
3:1
Apr 4, 2015 NB II.
Ajka vs Kaposvar
3:2
Sep 27, 2014 NB II.
Kaposvar vs Ajka
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaposvar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Ajka Compare

Top Goalscorer Csizmadia Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Artner D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaposvar 65 / 100
Ajka 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaposvar Ajka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaposvar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaposvar scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Ajka has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Kaposvar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaposvar VS Ajka
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaposvar

(Home)
31 Oct
Kaposvar
2 : 0
PTE-PEAC
27 Oct
Kaposvar
0 : 2
Ajka
24 Oct
MTK Budapest II
3 : 4
Kaposvar
17 Oct
Kaposvar
7 : 0
Sarbogard
10 Oct
Kaposvar
1 : 0
Ivancsa
Page 1 of 6

Ajka

(Away)
31 Oct
Ajka
1 : 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor
27 Oct
Kaposvar
0 : 2
Ajka
24 Oct
Videoton
1 : 2
Ajka
17 Oct
Ajka
1 : 2
BVSC-Zuglo
14 Oct
Mezokovesd-Zsory
1 : 1
Ajka
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kaposvar 1
PTE-PEAC 0
Mezocsat 3
Hatvan FC 5
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Csepel UFC 0
Csepel 3
Epitok 2
Villanyi 3
Szabadkikoto 0
Godollo 2
TBD -
Debrecen -
Nagykanizsa FC -
TBD -
Monori 3
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Emodi 2
Tarpa 1
Ibrany SE 0
Ozd-Sajovolgye 2
Majosi 7
III. Keruleti TVE 2
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
Bony 0
Lebeny SE 2
Algyo SK 0
ESMTK Budapest 3
VSC Veszprem 0
Haladas VSE 1
Senyo 0
Tiszafuredi 1
Szentlorinc SE -
TBD -
Gyulai Termal 5
BKV Elore 1
TFSE-Tent Budapest 2
Siofok 0
TBD -
Vasas -
Kozarmisleny SE -
TBD -
Salgotarjani BTC 0
Mateszalkai MTK 2
Soroksar -
TBD -
Heviz 3
Balatonfuredi 1
DVTK -
TBD -
TBD -
Videoton -
Kormendi 1
Mezoors 8
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Karancslapujto 5
Edeleny 0
Nagybatony 0
Tiszaujvaros 1
Intretech Kapuvari SE 1
Tatabanya 2
TBD -
Kecskemeti TE -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
TBD -
Erdi 0
Ivancsa 3
Mori SE 0
Dorogi FC 7
TBD -
Ujpest -
Ujdombrad SE 0
Cigand SE 3
Felsopakony 1
FC Dabas 3
Kazincbarcika -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Ikarus 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 3
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Karcagi -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Andrashida TE 2
Sopron 8
Janoshalmi 0
Szegedi 5
Sandorfalvi 1
Szolnoki MAV 3
Ugod 0
Komaromi VSE 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Bajai 2
Csor FC 0
TBD -
Honved -
Pecsi MFC 3
Sarbogard 0
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Balatoni Vasas 0
Nagykozar KSE 1
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Bicskei 3
Sarisapi Banyasz 1
Penzugyor SE 1
Harta SE 2
Albidok 0
Debreceni EAC 5
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
1/32-finals
Kaposvar 4
Hatvan FC 1
Ajka 3
BVSC-Zuglo 2
Csepel 3
Villanyi 1
Godollo 2
Debrecen 3
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Monori 2
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
MTK Budapest 2
Emodi 0
Ozd-Sajovolgye 5
Majosi 1
Nyiregyhaza 8
Lebeny SE 1
ESMTK Budapest 7
Haladas VSE 4
Tiszafuredi 0
Szentlorinc SE 1
Gyulai Termal 0
TFSE-Tent Budapest 1
Vasas 3
Kozarmisleny SE 3
Mateszalkai MTK 1
Soroksar 6
Heviz 1
DVTK 4
Videoton 1
Mezoors 1
Puskas Academy 8
Karancslapujto 2
Tiszaujvaros 4
Tatabanya 4
Kecskemeti TE 5
Szeged-Csanad GA 4
Ivancsa 0
Dorogi FC 0
Ujpest 2
Cigand SE 3
FC Dabas 2
Kazincbarcika 1
Paks 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 1
Zalaegerszegi 5
Karcagi 1
Gyor 5
Sopron 6
Szegedi 3
Szolnoki MAV 3
Komaromi VSE 1
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Csakvari 0
Bajai 0
Honved 7
Pecsi MFC 3
Tiszakecske 2
Nagykozar KSE 0
Kisvarda FC 9
Bicskei 1
Harta SE 0
Debreceni EAC 0
Ferencvaros 7
1/16-finals
Kaposvar 0
Ajka 2
Csepel 2
Debrecen 3
Monori 1
MTK Budapest 5
Ozd-Sajovolgye 1
Nyiregyhaza 3
ESMTK Budapest 1
Haladas VSE 0
Szentlorinc SE 3
Vasas 4
Kozarmisleny SE 3
Soroksar 2
DVTK 1
Puskas Academy 2
Tiszaujvaros 0
Kecskemeti TE 4
Szeged-Csanad GA 1
Ujpest 3
Cigand SE 1
Paks 2
Zalaegerszegi 3
Gyor 1
Sopron 3
Szolnoki MAV 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 3
Honved 1
Pecsi MFC 4
Kisvarda FC 2
Bicskei 1
Ferencvaros 4
1/8-finals
Ajka -
Debrecen -
MTK Budapest -
Nyiregyhaza -
ESMTK Budapest -
Vasas -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Puskas Academy -
Kecskemeti TE -
Ujpest -
Paks -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sopron -
Gyirmot FC Gyor -
Pecsi MFC -
Ferencvaros -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -