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Kaposvar vs Balatonlelle

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Juhasz G.
25' Event
Borbely A.
59' Event
Racz B.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Kaposvar and Balatonlelle finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaposvar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Kaposvar
20%
Draws
28%
Balatonlelle
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaposvar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaposvar come out ahead of Balatonlelle on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kaposvar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kaposvar here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 20%
Balatonlelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaposvar Balatonlelle
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2.2 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Balatonlelle
3:1
Aug 17, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Balatonlelle vs Kaposvar
0:1
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Balatonlelle vs Kaposvar
0:7
Oct 27, 2004 Hungarian Cup
Balatonlelle vs Kaposvar
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaposvar Compare

Top Goalscorer Racz B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Juhasz G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Balatonlelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Borbely A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaposvar 85 / 100
Balatonlelle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaposvar Balatonlelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaposvar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaposvar scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Balatonlelle conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kaposvar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaposvar VS Balatonlelle
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaposvar

(Home)
12 Aug
Szekszardi
0 : 3
Kaposvar
08 Aug
Kaposvar
7 : 0
Budaorsi SC
25 Jul
Kaposvar
2 : 1
Siofok
10 Jul
Kaposvar
0 : 0
Csepel
24 May
Kaposvar
6 : 2
Dombovari
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Balatonlelle

(Away)
24 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 3
Ivancsa
17 May
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Balatonlelle
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
02 May
Erdi
3 : 2
Balatonlelle
26 Apr
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Paks II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)