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Kaposvar vs Ferencvaros II Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
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Match Events

19' Event
Serdiukov O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Kaposvar and Ferencvaros II finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferencvaros II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kaposvar
30%
Draws
37%
Ferencvaros II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferencvaros II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaposvar come out ahead of Ferencvaros II on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kaposvar taking it.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 17%
Ferencvaros II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaposvar Ferencvaros II
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 22 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.22 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Ferencvaros II
2:2
Apr 26, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Ferencvaros II
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Kaposvar
1:1
May 4, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Ferencvaros II
4:0
Oct 20, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Kaposvar
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaposvar 36 / 100
Ferencvaros II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaposvar Ferencvaros II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaposvar's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Ferencvaros II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kaposvar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kaposvar VS Ferencvaros II
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaposvar

(Home)
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Majosi
4 : 1
Kaposvar
12 Sept
Hatvan FC
1 : 4
Kaposvar
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
29 Aug
Dunaharaszti MTK
2 : 4
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 7

Ferencvaros II

(Away)
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Ivancsa
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
26 Aug
Ferencvaros II
5 : 0
Majosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)