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Kaposvar vs Ferencvaros II

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Serdiukov O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Kaposvar and Ferencvaros II finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferencvaros II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kaposvar
28%
Draws
22%
Ferencvaros II
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kaposvar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaposvar come out ahead of Ferencvaros II on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Kaposvar taking it.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 18%
Ferencvaros II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaposvar Ferencvaros II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Ferencvaros II
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Kaposvar
1:1
May 4, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Ferencvaros II
4:0
Oct 20, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Ferencvaros II vs Kaposvar
2:2
Apr 7, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Ferencvaros II
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaposvar 49 / 100
Ferencvaros II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaposvar Ferencvaros II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaposvar's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ferencvaros II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Kaposvar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kaposvar VS Ferencvaros II
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaposvar

(Home)
10 Jul
Kaposvar
0 : 0
Csepel
24 May
Kaposvar
6 : 2
Dombovari
17 May
Erdi
2 : 1
Kaposvar
10 May
Kaposvar
1 : 2
Paks II
03 May
Penzugyor SE
1 : 3
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 6

Ferencvaros II

(Away)
24 May
Dunaujvaros
2 : 3
Ferencvaros II
17 May
Ferencvaros II
3 : 4
Pecsi MFC
10 May
Szekszardi
2 : 3
Ferencvaros II
03 May
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Majosi
26 Apr
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Ferencvaros II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagykanizsa FC30216364:2769
2Pecsi MFC30207371:2567
3Kaposvar30203764:3263
4Ferencvaros II30174963:4355
5Majosi301731078:4954
6MTK Budapest II301641062:3352
7Erdi30157847:3952
8Dunaujvaros301310758:4249
9Ivancsa301161349:4439
10Siofok301151440:5538
11Paks II301021842:6232
12Szekszardi30941743:7531
13PTE-PEAC306101439:5128
14Balatonlelle30661824:5324
15Penzugyor SE30481831:6120
16Dombovari30032722:1063
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)