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Kaposvar vs Paks II

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Pesti Z.
59' Event
Hampuk A.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Marosi M.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Kaposvar and Paks II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paks II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Kaposvar
15%
Draws
8%
Paks II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaposvar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaposvar come out ahead of Paks II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kaposvar a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kaposvar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 20%
Paks II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaposvar Paks II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 22 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2.4 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Paks II
3:1
May 10, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Paks II
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Kaposvar vs Paks II
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Kaposvar
0:4
May 11, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Kaposvar
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaposvar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Paks II Compare

Top Goalscorer Pesti Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marosi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaposvar 85 / 100
Paks II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaposvar Paks II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaposvar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaposvar scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Paks II has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kaposvar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaposvar VS Paks II
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaposvar

(Home)
19 Sept
Majosi
4 : 1
Kaposvar
12 Sept
Hatvan FC
1 : 4
Kaposvar
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
29 Aug
Dunaharaszti MTK
2 : 4
Kaposvar
26 Aug
Kaposvar
3 : 1
Paks II
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Paks II

(Away)
19 Sept
Paks II
1 : 2
Budafoki MTE
05 Sept
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Paks II
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
26 Aug
Kaposvar
3 : 1
Paks II
15 Aug
Paks II
0 : 2
Ivancsa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)