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Kaposvar vs Pecsi MFC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Novak Z.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Kaposvar and Pecsi MFC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pecsi MFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kaposvar
15%
Draws
47%
Pecsi MFC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pecsi MFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pecsi MFC come out ahead of Kaposvar on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 10%
Pecsi MFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaposvar Pecsi MFC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 24
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 1
Goals Scored 2.38 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Pecsi MFC
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Pecsi MFC
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Pecsi MFC vs Kaposvar
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Pecsi MFC
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Pecsi MFC vs Kaposvar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaposvar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pecsi MFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Novak Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaposvar 30 / 100
Pecsi MFC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaposvar Pecsi MFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pecsi MFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kaposvar scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kaposvar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Pecsi MFC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaposvar VS Pecsi MFC
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaposvar

(Home)
31 Oct
Kaposvar
2 : 0
PTE-PEAC
27 Oct
Kaposvar
0 : 2
Ajka
24 Oct
MTK Budapest II
3 : 4
Kaposvar
17 Oct
Kaposvar
7 : 0
Sarbogard
10 Oct
Kaposvar
1 : 0
Ivancsa
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Pecsi MFC

(Away)
28 Oct
Pecsi MFC
4 : 2
Kisvarda FC
24 Oct
Budaorsi SC
0 : 6
Pecsi MFC
17 Oct
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Szekszardi
11 Oct
Siofok
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
03 Oct
Pecsi MFC
2 : 1
Budafoki MTE
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 13 12 1 0 40:4 37
2 Kaposvar 13 9 1 3 37:17 28
3 Ivancsa 13 8 0 5 31:24 24
4 Ferencvaros II 13 7 3 3 32:18 24
5 Majosi 13 7 3 3 30:27 24
6 Dunaharaszti MTK 13 6 2 5 24:22 20
7 Erdi 13 5 4 4 29:28 19
8 MTK Budapest II 12 6 0 6 31:25 18
9 Budafoki MTE 13 5 3 5 24:22 18
10 Siofok 13 5 2 6 22:18 17
11 PTE-PEAC 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
12 Paks II 13 3 4 6 28:24 13
13 Budaorsi SC 13 3 3 7 20:40 12
14 Sarbogard 13 1 2 10 10:39 5
15 Szekszardi 13 0 0 13 6:52 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)