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Kaposvar vs Pecsi MFC

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Novak Z.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Kaposvar and Pecsi MFC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pecsi MFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kaposvar
15%
Draws
47%
Pecsi MFC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pecsi MFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaposvar have managed 2.45 goals a game lately — Pecsi MFC are scoring more at 2.7.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Pecsi MFC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 10%
Pecsi MFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaposvar Pecsi MFC
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 22 22
Draws 2 4
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 2.45 2.7
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Pecsi MFC
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Pecsi MFC
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Pecsi MFC vs Kaposvar
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Pecsi MFC
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Pecsi MFC vs Kaposvar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaposvar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Pecsi MFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Novak Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaposvar 14 / 100
Pecsi MFC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaposvar Pecsi MFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pecsi MFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kaposvar scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kaposvar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Pecsi MFC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaposvar VS Pecsi MFC
3 Goals Scored 3.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaposvar

(Home)
12 Sept
Hatvan FC
1 : 4
Kaposvar
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
29 Aug
Dunaharaszti MTK
2 : 4
Kaposvar
26 Aug
Kaposvar
3 : 1
Paks II
21 Aug
Kaposvar
1 : 0
PTE-PEAC
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Pecsi MFC

(Away)
12 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 2
Tiszakecske
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
30 Aug
Pecsi MFC
7 : 0
Ivancsa
26 Aug
Erdi
1 : 2
Pecsi MFC
21 Aug
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
Sarbogard
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 7 7 0 0 24:2 21
2 Budafoki MTE 7 5 1 1 14:6 16
3 Kaposvar 6 5 0 1 19:5 15
4 PTE-PEAC 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
5 MTK Budapest II 6 4 0 2 21:9 12
6 Ferencvaros II 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
7 Siofok 7 3 2 2 12:8 11
8 Majosi 7 3 1 3 13:16 10
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 7 2 1 4 10:15 7
10 Budaorsi SC 7 2 1 4 10:24 7
11 Ivancsa 6 2 0 4 10:16 6
12 Erdi 6 1 3 2 13:13 6
13 Sarbogard 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
14 Paks II 8 0 3 5 10:19 3
15 Szekszardi 7 0 0 7 2:25 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)