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Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Damash Gilan

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kara Gostar Shabestar play Damash Gilan in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kara Gostar Shabestar averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Damash Gilan averaged 0.46 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Kara Gostar Shabestar won 1, Damash Gilan won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Kara Gostar Shabestar and 0.63 for Damash Gilan. This points to a Kara Gostar Shabestar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
33%
Draws
22%
Damash Gilan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kara Gostar Shabestar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Kara Gostar Shabestar picked up more points recently compared to Damash Gilan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 16%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 29%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 40%
Second Half Goal 42%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kara Gostar Shabestar Damash Gilan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.5 0.46
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:1
Nov 28, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Damash Gilan
0:0
May 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Damash Gilan
4:0
May 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 46 / 100
Damash Gilan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kara Gostar Shabestar Damash Gilan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kara Gostar Shabestar or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +30%
5.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kara Gostar Shabestar attacking → ← attacking Damash Gilan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kara Gostar Shabestar scored in 39% of their last 28 games.

Damash Gilan let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Kara Gostar Shabestar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Damash Gilan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 15
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mazandaran32199446:1566
2Mes Shahr Babak321810439:1464
3Pars Janoobi Jam321412638:2154
4Sanat Naft321412634:2154
5Saipa321411727:1853
6Havadar SC321116530:1849
7Fard321015724:1445
8Naft Bandar Abbas32917623:1844
9Mes Kerman32915820:1742
10Ario Eslamshahr32815916:1639
11Besat Kermanshah329111224:2738
12Niroye Zamini328111327:2835
13Naft Gachsaran327131223:3734
14Kara Gostar Shabestar32891516:3433
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm327101519:3531
16Shahrdari Noshahr325141317:2729
17Navad Urmia324121616:4324
18Damash Gilan322121816:5218