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Iran

Azadegan League

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kara Gostar Shabestar host Fard in the Azadegan League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Kara Gostar Shabestar at 0.88 goals for, 0.75 against; Fard at 1.75 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Fard slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.25) point toward Fard. Fard in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Kara Gostar Shabestar

44%

Draws

20%

Fard

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Fard demonstrates higher offensive output (1.75 avg goals) than Kara Gostar Shabestar (0.88 avg goals).
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Azadegan League provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 17%

Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 19%

Fard Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kara Gostar Shabestar	Fard
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	8	8
Draws	8	14
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	0.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Azadegan League

Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Fard

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sep 17, 2025 Azadegan League

Fard vs Kara Gostar Shabestar

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 36 / 100

Fard 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kara Gostar Shabestar Fard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kara Gostar Shabestar scored in 39% of their last 28 games.

Fard let in goals in 39% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Kara Gostar Shabestar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fard lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kara Gostar Shabestar VS Fard

0.88 Goals Scored 1.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	32	19	9	4	46:15	66
2	Mes Shahr Babak	32	18	10	4	39:14	64
3	Pars Janoobi Jam	32	14	12	6	38:21	54
4	Sanat Naft	32	14	12	6	34:21	54
5	Saipa	32	14	11	7	27:18	53
6	Havadar SC	32	11	16	5	30:18	49
7	Fard	32	10	15	7	24:14	45
8	Naft Bandar Abbas	32	9	17	6	23:18	44
9	Mes Kerman	32	9	15	8	20:17	42
10	Ario Eslamshahr	32	8	15	9	16:16	39
11	Besat Kermanshah	32	9	11	12	24:27	38
12	Niroye Zamini	32	8	11	13	27:28	35
13	Naft Gachsaran	32	7	13	12	23:37	34
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	32	8	9	15	16:34	33
15	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	32	7	10	15	19:35	31
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	32	5	14	13	17:27	29
17	Navad Urmia	32	4	12	16	16:43	24
18	Damash Gilan	32	2	12	18	16:52	18