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Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Bandar Abbas

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Delavarzadeh M.
85' Event
Pourdarvish E.
89' Event
Farajpour M.

AI Match Summary

Kara Gostar Shabestar in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kara Gostar Shabestar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
30%
Draws
34%
Naft Bandar Abbas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kara Gostar Shabestar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kara Gostar Shabestar at 0.75 per game, Naft Bandar Abbas at 0.63.
  • Model gives Kara Gostar Shabestar a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Naft Bandar Abbas here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Bandar Abbas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kara Gostar Shabestar Naft Bandar Abbas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 16
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Bandar Abbas
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0
Mar 11, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
2:0
Oct 24, 2024 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Bandar Abbas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Top Goalscorer Delavarzadeh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farajpour M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Naft Bandar Abbas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pourdarvish E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 36 / 100
Naft Bandar Abbas 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kara Gostar Shabestar Naft Bandar Abbas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Kara Gostar Shabestar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Kara Gostar Shabestar scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Naft Bandar Abbas let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kara Gostar Shabestar VS Naft Bandar Abbas
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Home)
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Jun
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Page 1 of 6

Naft Bandar Abbas

(Away)
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Naft Bandar Abbas
3 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
27 Jun
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran34209548:1769
2Mes Shahr Babak341911441:1468
3Sanat Naft341612637:2160
4Pars Janoobi Jam341612644:2260
5Saipa341611730:1859
6Havadar SC341117632:2350
7Naft Bandar Abbas341017726:1947
8Fard341016824:1546
9Mes Kerman341015923:1845
10Ario Eslamshahr34916919:1843
11Besat Kermanshah349111425:3238
12Kara Gostar Shabestar349101517:3437
13Niroye Zamini348121428:3136
14Shenavarsazi Qeshm348111523:3635
15Naft Gachsaran347141325:4135
16Shahrdari Noshahr345151418:2930
17Navad Urmia344121816:4824
18Damash Gilan342131916:5619
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