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Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Bandar Abbas Prediction & H2H Stats

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
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Match Events

60' Event
Delavarzadeh M.
85' Event
Pourdarvish E.
89' Event
Farajpour M.

AI Match Summary

Kara Gostar Shabestar in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kara Gostar Shabestar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
35%
Draws
37%
Naft Bandar Abbas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naft Bandar Abbas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kara Gostar Shabestar lately — more wins on the board than Naft Bandar Abbas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Naft Bandar Abbas here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Bandar Abbas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kara Gostar Shabestar Naft Bandar Abbas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 16
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 0.55 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Bandar Abbas
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0
Mar 11, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
2:0
Oct 24, 2024 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Bandar Abbas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Top Goalscorer Delavarzadeh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farajpour M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Naft Bandar Abbas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pourdarvish E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 32 / 100
Naft Bandar Abbas 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kara Gostar Shabestar Naft Bandar Abbas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naft Bandar Abbas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Kara Gostar Shabestar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Kara Gostar Shabestar scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Naft Bandar Abbas let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kara Gostar Shabestar VS Naft Bandar Abbas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Home)
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
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Naft Bandar Abbas

(Away)
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
15 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Naft Bandar Abbas
3 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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