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Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Aghababaei R.
61' Event
Abdoei S.
75' Event
Khodadadeh A.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2024/2025 game between Kara Gostar Shabestar and Naft Masjed-Soleyman finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
28%
Draws
50%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Naft Masjed-Soleyman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kara Gostar Shabestar come out ahead of Naft Masjed-Soleyman on wins alone.
  • Model gives Naft Masjed-Soleyman a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 23%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kara Gostar Shabestar Naft Masjed-Soleyman
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 13 15
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.25 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1:1
Nov 8, 2023 Azadegan League
Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Top Goalscorer Aghababaei R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khodadadeh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Naft Masjed-Soleyman Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdoei S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 24 / 100
Naft Masjed-Soleyman 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kara Gostar Shabestar Naft Masjed-Soleyman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kara Gostar Shabestar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Naft Masjed-Soleyman conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Kara Gostar Shabestar scored in 44% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Kara Gostar Shabestar VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Home)
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
03 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Jun
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Jun
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Page 1 of 7

Naft Masjed-Soleyman

(Away)
18 May
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
12 May
Niroye Zamini
2 : 0
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
06 May
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
30 Apr
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 1
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
22 Apr
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
6 : 0
Shahrdari Astara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fajr Sepasi34199639:1766
2Paykan341613543:2161
3Saipa34179834:2360
4Sanat Naft341514528:1559
5Ario Eslamshahr341416433:1858
6Pars Janoobi Jam341411940:3053
7Mes Shahr Babak341213934:2549
8Shahrdari Noshahr3412101237:3246
9Naft Bandar Abbas3410121232:3042
10Mes Kerman34818823:2142
11Besat Kermanshah349151026:2542
12Naft Gachsaran3410121227:2842
13Niroye Zamini347161119:2337
14Kara Gostar Shabestar347151234:4136
15Damash Gilan346161220:3934
16Naft Masjed-Soleyman346151329:3633
17Shahre Raz347121527:3433
18Shahrdari Astara34082614:818
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