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Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
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AI Match Summary

Kara Gostar Shabestar host Naft Masjed-Soleyman in the Azadegan League. This has Naft Masjed-Soleyman written all over it on paper. Naft Masjed-Soleyman have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Kara Gostar Shabestar have conceded 0.84 and scored 0.55. Head-to-head, Kara Gostar Shabestar have won 0 to Naft Masjed-Soleyman's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 16, 2025, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Naft Masjed-Soleyman to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
20%
Draws
51%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naft Masjed-Soleyman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kara Gostar Shabestar have managed 0.55 goals a game lately — Naft Masjed-Soleyman are scoring more at 1.19.
  • Win probability leans Naft Masjed-Soleyman's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 20%
Naft Masjed-Soleyman Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kara Gostar Shabestar Naft Masjed-Soleyman
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 13 14
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.55 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1:1
Nov 8, 2023 Azadegan League
Naft Masjed-Soleyman vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 24 / 100
Naft Masjed-Soleyman 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kara Gostar Shabestar Naft Masjed-Soleyman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naft Masjed-Soleyman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naft Masjed-Soleyman conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kara Gostar Shabestar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kara Gostar Shabestar found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Kara Gostar Shabestar VS Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0.88 Goals Scored 1.2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.8
50% Over 1.5 40%
13% Over 2.5 40%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Home)
04 Oct
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 7

Naft Masjed-Soleyman

(Away)
04 Oct
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1 : 0
Fard
28 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
3 : 2
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
22 Sept
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
16 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 3
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
18 May
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
2 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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