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Karacabey Bld. vs Ankaragucu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Colak O.
30' Event
Has I.
Own Goal
34' Event
Guner A.
Assist: Tepecik E.

AI Match Summary

Ankaragucu in this 2. Lig Red Group matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ankaragucu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Karacabey Bld.
20%
Draws
33%
Ankaragucu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karacabey Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Ankaragucu have won more games recently than Karacabey Bld..
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Ankaragucu taking it.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ankaragucu here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Karacabey Bld. Clean Sheet 17%
Ankaragucu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karacabey Bld. Ankaragucu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Ankaragucu
1:4
Feb 22, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Karacabey Bld. vs Ankaragucu
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Ankaragucu vs Karacabey Bld.
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karacabey Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Yumurtaci A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ankaragucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Guner A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yigit M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karacabey Bld. 20 / 100
Ankaragucu 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karacabey Bld. Ankaragucu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ankaragucu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karacabey Bld. scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Ankaragucu has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Karacabey Bld. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karacabey Bld. VS Ankaragucu
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karacabey Bld.

(Home)
07 Oct
Karacabey Bld.
3 : 2
Galata Spor Kulubu
03 Oct
Fethiyespor
0 : 1
Karacabey Bld.
27 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 4
Ankaragucu
20 Sept
Inegolspor
0 : 1
Karacabey Bld.
06 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 1
Serik Spor
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Ankaragucu

(Away)
04 Oct
Ankaragucu
4 : 1
Inegolspor
27 Sept
Karacabey Bld.
1 : 4
Ankaragucu
19 Sept
Ankaragucu
1 : 1
Serik Spor
13 Sept
12 Bingol Spor
1 : 0
Ankaragucu
06 Sept
Ankaragucu
0 : 1
Ankara Demirspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sakaryaspor 5 5 0 0 13:4 15
2 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Adana 01 5 3 1 1 11:10 10
4 52 Orduspor 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
5 24Erzincanspor 5 2 3 0 9:7 9
6 K. Istklalspor 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
7 Ankaragucu 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
8 Trabzon FK 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
9 Ankara Demirspor 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10 Karacabey Bld. 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
11 12 Bingol Spor 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Serik Spor 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Kirklarelispor 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
14 Fethiyespor 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
15 Kutahyaspor 5 1 0 4 5:10 3
16 Inegolspor 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
17 Iskenderunspor 4 0 0 4 3:13 -2
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)