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Stadium Background

Karadeniz Eregli vs Pazarspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Davarcioglu M.
Assist: Sengul E.
26' Event
Davarcioglu M.
Assist: Tasdemir A.
45' Event
Tasdemir A.
Assist: Polat Y.

AI Match Summary

Karadeniz Eregli play Pazarspor in the 3. Lig Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karadeniz Eregli averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. Pazarspor averaged 1 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Karadeniz Eregli won 0, Pazarspor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 9, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Karadeniz Eregli and 0.69 for Pazarspor. This points to a Karadeniz Eregli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Karadeniz Eregli
30%
Draws
34%
Pazarspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karadeniz Eregli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Karadeniz Eregli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pazarspor.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Karadeniz Eregli.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. Lig Group 3 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 20%
Pazarspor Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karadeniz Eregli Pazarspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Karadeniz Eregli vs Pazarspor
0:3
Oct 5, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Pazarspor vs Karadeniz Eregli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pazarspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Davarcioglu M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tasdemir A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karadeniz Eregli 36 / 100
Pazarspor 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karadeniz Eregli Pazarspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karadeniz Eregli scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Pazarspor let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Karadeniz Eregli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pazarspor lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karadeniz Eregli VS Pazarspor
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321