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Stadium Background

Karadeniz Eregli vs Yozgat

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gurdal O.
Assist: Cayir M.
41' Event
Bayar B.
Assist: Sivri M. E.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Karadeniz Eregli and Yozgat finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Karadeniz Eregli
22%
Draws
60%
Yozgat
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Yozgat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Yozgat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Yozgat's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 19%
Yozgat Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karadeniz Eregli Yozgat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Karadeniz Eregli vs Yozgat
0:3
Apr 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Yozgat vs Karadeniz Eregli
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Karadeniz Eregli vs Yozgat
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Yozgat vs Karadeniz Eregli
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayar B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Yozgat Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurdal O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karadeniz Eregli 20 / 100
Yozgat 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karadeniz Eregli Yozgat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YOZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karadeniz Eregli scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Yozgat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Karadeniz Eregli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karadeniz Eregli VS Yozgat
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321