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Karaman FK vs Erciyes 38 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karaman FK host Erciyes 38 in the 3. Lig Group 3. Erciyes 38 go into this one as the clear favorite. Karaman FK have averaged 0.89 scored and 3.25 conceded recently, against Erciyes 38's 1.77 scored and 1.06 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 2.94, favoring Erciyes 38. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Karaman FK
15%
Draws
65%
Erciyes 38
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Erciyes 38 have won more games recently than Karaman FK.
  • Model gives Erciyes 38 a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Karaman FK Clean Sheet 10%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karaman FK Erciyes 38
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 18
Draws 2 7
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 0.89 1.77
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karaman FK 10 / 100
Erciyes 38 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karaman FK Erciyes 38

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karaman FK scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Erciyes 38's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Karaman FK has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Erciyes 38 has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karaman FK VS Erciyes 38
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karaman FK

(Home)
01 Nov
Karaman FK
1 : 6
Malatya
24 Oct
Karakopru
6 : 0
Karaman FK
18 Oct
Karaman FK
0 : 1
Adana Adaletgucu
11 Oct
Nigde
1 : 2
Karaman FK
03 Oct
Karaman FK
1 : 7
Kirsehir SK
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Erciyes 38

(Away)
01 Nov
Bitlis 1916
4 : 0
Erciyes 38
27 Oct
Elazigspor
0 : 2
Erciyes 38
24 Oct
Erciyes 38
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
18 Oct
Yozgat
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
11 Oct
Erciyes 38
6 : 1
Adanaspor AS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 9 8 1 0 36:4 25
2 Karakopru 9 7 1 1 24:8 22
3 Nigde 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
4 Kirsehir SK 9 6 2 1 27:9 20
5 Bitlis 1916 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
6 Erciyes 38 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
7 Mazidagi 9 5 4 0 17:5 19
8 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 9 5 0 4 13:10 15
9 Kirikkale FK 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
10 Osmaniyespor 9 4 0 5 14:18 12
11 Adana Adaletgucu 9 3 0 6 13:17 9
12 Agri 1970 9 2 2 5 7:12 8
13 Silifke 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
14 Yozgat 9 2 2 5 5:20 8
15 Karaman FK 9 2 0 7 7:28 6
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 9 1 1 7 7:15 4
17 Adanaspor AS 9 0 1 8 6:33 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 9 0 0 9 0:27 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)