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Karavas vs Agios Nikolaos Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Agios Nikolaos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agios Nikolaos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Karavas
20%
Draws
45%
Agios Nikolaos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agios Nikolaos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Agios Nikolaos have won more games recently than Karavas.
  • Win probability leans Agios Nikolaos's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Karavas Clean Sheet 16%
Agios Nikolaos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karavas Agios Nikolaos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Karavas vs Agios Nikolaos
0:1
Nov 20, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Agios Nikolaos vs Karavas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karavas 28 / 100
Agios Nikolaos 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karavas Agios Nikolaos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agios Nikolaos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Karavas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Karavas's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Agios Nikolaos let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Karavas VS Agios Nikolaos
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karavas

(Home)
27 Apr
Karavas
2 : 0
Atsalenios FC
16 Apr
Rethymniakos
1 : 3
Karavas
12 Apr
Karavas
3 : 0
AO Tympakiou
06 Apr
Giouchtas
1 : 1
Karavas
30 Mar
Mandraikos
3 : 0
Karavas
Page 1 of 6

Agios Nikolaos

(Away)
27 Sept
Agios Nikolaos
2 : 0
AO Tympakiou
27 Apr
Thiva F.C.
0 : 3
Agios Nikolaos
16 Apr
Agios Nikolaos
1 : 0
Chaidari
12 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 1
Agios Nikolaos
06 Apr
Agios Nikolaos
2 : 1
Asteras Kaisarianis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 32 22 8 2 61:22 74
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 32 22 7 3 62:20 73
3 Nea Ionia 32 20 7 5 54:25 67
4 Chaidari 32 15 9 8 36:24 54
5 Aris Petroupolis 32 15 7 10 39:31 52
6 Atsalenios FC 32 14 6 12 43:43 48
7 Giouchtas 32 14 5 13 39:40 47
8 AO Ilisiakos 32 14 5 13 50:41 47
9 Asteras Kaisarianis 32 13 8 11 32:24 47
10 Kyanos Astir Varis 32 12 9 11 40:33 45
11 Thyella Diastavroseos 32 11 11 10 34:32 44
12 Agios Nikolaos 32 13 5 14 34:36 44
13 Karavas 32 7 6 19 27:58 27
14 Mandraikos 32 6 8 18 34:51 26
15 Thiva F.C. 32 7 5 20 27:55 26
16 AO Tympakiou 32 5 6 21 33:60 21
17 Rethymniakos 32 4 4 24 25:75 16
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