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Karbala vs Al Karkh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Amutu A.
Assist: Amor M.

AI Match Summary

Karbala in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karbala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Karbala
35%
Draws
46%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Karkh have won more games recently than Karbala.
  • Al Karkh are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Karbala Clean Sheet 11%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karbala Al Karkh
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Karkh
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Karkh
1:1
Nov 6, 2024 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Karbala
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Karkh
2:1
Dec 8, 2023 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Karbala
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karbala Compare

Top Goalscorer Amutu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Karkh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karbala 14 / 100
Al Karkh 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karbala Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karkh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karkh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Karbala found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Karbala remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karbala VS Al Karkh
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Karbala

(Home)
06 Nov
Newroz
1 : 0
Karbala
30 Oct
Karbala
2 : 2
Al Talaba
23 Oct
Duhok
5 : 2
Karbala
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Karbala
Page 1 of 6

Al Karkh

(Away)
07 Nov
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Karkh
31 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
23 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 1
Al Mosul
18 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Karkh
10 Oct
Al Karma
3 : 2
Al Karkh
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)