Sport Picks

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Karbala vs Al Karkh

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Amutu A.
Assist: Amor M.

AI Match Summary

Karbala in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karbala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Karbala
15%
Draws
59%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Al Karkh have won more games recently than Karbala.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Karbala Clean Sheet 20%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karbala Al Karkh
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.79 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Karkh
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Karkh
1:1
Nov 6, 2024 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Karbala
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Karkh
2:1
Dec 8, 2023 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Karbala
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karbala Compare

Top Goalscorer Amutu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Karkh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karbala 32 / 100
Al Karkh 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karbala Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karkh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Karbala scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Karbala remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karbala VS Al Karkh
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karbala

(Home)
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3
Erbil
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
30 Aug
Al-Karma
2 : 0
Karbala
Page 1 of 6

Al Karkh

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)