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Karbala vs Al Karkh

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Saleh M.
56' Event
Ouattara M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2024/2025 game between Karbala and Al Karkh finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Karbala
20%
Draws
58%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Karkh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Karkh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Al Karkh taking it.
  • Regular Stars League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Karbala Clean Sheet 26%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karbala Al Karkh
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.66 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2025 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Karkh
1:1
Nov 6, 2024 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Karbala
2:1
Jun 22, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Karkh
2:1
Dec 8, 2023 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Karbala
1:2
Apr 18, 2023 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Karkh
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karbala Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouattara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Al Karkh Compare

Top Goalscorer Saleh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karbala 21 / 100
Al Karkh 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karbala Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karkh let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Karbala found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Karbala stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karbala VS Al Karkh
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karbala

(Home)
08 Jun
Baghdad
0 : 1
Karbala
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3
Al-Hudod
27 Jun
Karbala
2 : 4
Al Naft
18 Jun
Newroz
1 : 0
Karbala
13 Jun
Karbala
0 : 2
Al-Karma
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Al Karkh

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Karkh
0 : 2
Al Shorta
20 May
Al Najaf
2 : 5
Al Karkh
15 May
Al Gharraf
2 : 2
Al Karkh
11 May
Al Karkh
2 : 1
Baghdad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al-Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al-Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al-Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al-Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)