Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karbala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Jawad M.
72' Event
Jawad M.
80' Event
Jawad M.

AI Match Summary

Karbala host Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Stars League 2024/2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Karbala at 0.5 goals for, 0 against; Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 2.25 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Al Quwa Al Jawiya slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.68, favoring Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Al Quwa Al Jawiya in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Karbala
22%
Draws
60%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Karbala.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Stars League 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Karbala Clean Sheet 13%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karbala Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 2 24
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 1
Goals Scored 0.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Karbala
0:0
May 13, 2025 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:4
Feb 10, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Karbala
1:0
Apr 25, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Karbala
2:1
Dec 16, 2023 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karbala Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouattara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Jawad M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Al Sabhi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karbala 19 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karbala Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karbala scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Karbala went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karbala VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Shorta38269375:2387
2Al Zawraa38238756:2877
3Zakho382011757:2571
4Al Talaba381891140:2763
5Al Quwa Al Jawiya381791251:4360
6Al Naft381514932:2759
7Duhok381691347:4157
8Al-Karma3815111243:3556
9Newroz3814111346:4153
10Al-Qassim3813131243:4352
11Naft Missan381491542:4651
12Erbil381551849:6150
13Al Kahraba3812131339:4149
14Al Najaf3811131437:3646
15Al Karkh3812101640:4946
16Al Minaa3811101739:4443
17Diyala3810111731:5041
18Naft Al-Basra38892132:5733
19Al-Hudod38822837:7926
20Karbala384102426:6622