Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karbala vs Al Talaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karbala host Al Talaba in the Stars League. This one's hard to separate. Al Talaba have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Karbala have conceded 1.89 and scored 0.82. Past meetings favor Al Talaba slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.38) point toward Al Talaba. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Karbala
30%
Draws
62%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Talaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Talaba lately — more wins on the board than Karbala.
  • Win probability leans Al Talaba's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Karbala Clean Sheet 17%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karbala Al Talaba
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.82 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Karbala
2:0
Jan 29, 2025 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Talaba
0:2
Jun 4, 2024 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Talaba
0:0
Dec 20, 2023 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Karbala
0:0
Mar 17, 2023 Stars League
Karbala vs Al Talaba
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karbala 23 / 100
Al Talaba 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karbala Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Talaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karbala's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Talaba let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Karbala went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karbala VS Al Talaba
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karbala

(Home)
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2
Al Gharraf
10 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Karbala
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3
Erbil
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Al Talaba

(Away)
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 10 7 3 0 17:7 24
2 Newroz 10 6 3 1 16:4 21
3 Al Naft 10 6 3 1 13:5 21
4 Al Zawraa 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Erbil 10 5 3 2 13:5 18
6 Al Shorta 10 4 5 1 10:5 17
7 Al Golan 10 3 5 2 10:9 14
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 10 2 6 2 14:12 12
9 Duhok 10 2 6 2 14:13 12
10 Diyala 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
11 Al Minaa 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
12 Ghaz Al Shamal 10 2 5 3 5:7 11
13 Al Talaba 10 2 5 3 10:14 11
14 Al Mosul 10 3 2 5 10:15 11
15 Zakho 10 2 3 5 7:13 9
16 Al Gharraf 10 2 3 5 7:14 9
17 Al Karkh 10 2 2 6 14:17 8
18 Al Kahraba 10 1 5 4 6:11 8
19 Naft Missan 10 1 5 4 7:14 8
20 Karbala 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)