Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karditsa vs Aris

Greece Greece

Greek Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Fadiga N.
66' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Karditsa
30%
Draws
54%
Aris
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Aris's 1.34 goals per match outpaces what Karditsa have produced (1).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Aris, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aris have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Karditsa Clean Sheet 10%
Aris Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karditsa Aris
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Greek Cup
Karditsa vs Aris
0:2
May 27, 2018 Football League
Karditsa vs Aris
0:1
Feb 18, 2018 Football League
Aris vs Karditsa
3:0
Feb 26, 2017 Football League
Aris vs Karditsa
3:0
Nov 1, 2016 Football League
Karditsa vs Aris
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karditsa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Aris Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadiga N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karditsa 30 / 100
Aris 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karditsa Aris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aris conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Karditsa found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Karditsa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karditsa VS Aris
0.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karditsa

(Home)
13 Sept
Ellas Syrou
3 : 0
Karditsa
06 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Karditsa
17 Aug
Karditsa
0 : 2
Aris
22 Mar
Iraklis FC
3 : 1
Karditsa
14 Mar
Karditsa
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis B
Page 1 of 6

Aris

(Away)
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0
Marko
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
30 Aug
Aris
2 : 1
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Athens Kallithea -
TBD -
AO Trikala 0
AEL Larissa 4
Iraklis FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Volos -
Atromitos -
TBD -
TBD -
Pyrgos -
Zakynthos -
TBD -
TBD -
Kifisia -
Karditsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Aris -
Ellas Syrou -
TBD -
TBD -
Marko -
Niki Volos -
TBD -
TBD -
Panionios -
Levadiakos -
TBD -
TBD -
Asteras Tripolis -
Chrisoupolis -
TBD -
TBD -
Apollon Kalamaria -
Kalamata -
TBD -
TBD -
Panetolikos -
Panserraikos -
TBD -
TBD -
Panthrakikos -
Final
Athens Kallithea 1
AEL Larissa 3
Iraklis FC 1
Volos 3
Atromitos 3
Pyrgos 1
Zakynthos 1
Kifisia 6
Karditsa 0
Aris 2
Ellas Syrou 1
Marko 2
Niki Volos 1
Panionios 0
Levadiakos 0
Asteras Tripolis 3
Chrisoupolis 1
Apollon Kalamaria 0
Kalamata 4
Panetolikos 2
Panserraikos 2
Panthrakikos 1