Sport Picks
Karela vs Heart of Lions
Ghana
Premier League 2025/2026 Naa Sheriga Sports Centre, Nalerigu 
Match Events
14'
14'
Ephson M.
22'
22'
Antwi Konadu E.
27'
27'
Abambila I.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Karela and Heart of Lions finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Karela come out ahead of Heart of Lions on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Karela Clean Sheet 24%
Heart of Lions Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karela | Heart of Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Karela vs Heart of Lions
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Heart of Lions vs Karela
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Premier League
Heart of Lions vs Karela
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Karela vs Heart of Lions
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 Premier League
Karela vs Heart of Lions
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karela Compare
Top Goalscorer Antwi Konadu E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Heart of Lions Compare
Top Goalscorer Ephson M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Freeman C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karela 33 / 100
Heart of Lions 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karela Heart of Lions
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Karela scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Heart of Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Karela remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Karela VS Heart of Lions
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Karela
(Home) 24 May
Karela
0 : 1 Nations FC
17 May
Karela
1 : 0 Swedru All Blacks
10 May
Vision
3 : 0 Karela
06 May
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0 Karela
03 May
Karela
2 : 1 Young Apostles
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Karela
0 : 1 Nations FC
17 May
Karela
1 : 0 Swedru All Blacks
03 May
Karela
2 : 1 Young Apostles
12 Apr
Karela
2 : 2 Heart of Lions
29 Mar
Karela
2 : 0 Bibiani Gold Stars
Page 1 of 3
Heart of Lions
(Away) 23 May
Heart of Lions
3 : 0 Hohoe United
17 May
Medeama
5 : 2 Heart of Lions
10 May
Heart of Lions
3 : 0 Samartex
06 May
Heart of Lions
0 : 1 Nations FC
03 May
Aduana Stars
0 : 0 Heart of Lions
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Medeama
5 : 2 Heart of Lions
03 May
Aduana Stars
0 : 0 Heart of Lions
12 Apr
Karela
2 : 2 Heart of Lions
29 Mar
Young Apostles
3 : 0 Heart of Lions
15 Mar
Dreams FC
2 : 1 Heart of Lions
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 52:28 | 62 |
| 2 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 34 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 46:40 | 60 |
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25:15 | 54 |
| 4 | Dreams FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:32 | 52 |
| 5 | Samartex | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 26:25 | 50 |
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29:24 | 50 |
| 7 | Berekum Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 35:33 | 50 |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:29 | 49 |
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | 49 |
| 10 | Bechem United | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 38:39 | 47 |
| 11 | Vision | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 38:34 | 47 |
| 12 | Holy Stars | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 30:39 | 46 |
| 13 | Young Apostles | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 37:37 | 45 |
| 14 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 36:33 | 45 |
| 15 | Swedru All Blacks | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:31 | 45 |
| 16 | Nations FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 30:31 | 44 |
| 17 | Hohoe United | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 22:50 | 30 |
| 18 | Eleven Wonders | 34 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 26:73 | 13 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
