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Karela vs Hearts of Oak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League Naa Sheriga Sports Centre, Nalerigu
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Match Events

47'
Sub
Antwi J. In: Kourouma K.
Out: Antwi J.
63'
Sub
Amankwah E. In: Kyeremeh R.
Out: Amankwah E.
63'
Abdul B.

AI Match Summary

Karela in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Karela
20%
Draws
46%
Hearts of Oak
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hearts of Oak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Karela at 0.89 per game, Hearts of Oak at 0.79.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Karela Clean Sheet 18%
Hearts of Oak Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karela Hearts of Oak
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.89 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Premier League
Karela vs Hearts of Oak
1:0
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Karela
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Karela vs Hearts of Oak
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Hearts of Oak vs Karela
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 Premier League
Karela vs Hearts of Oak
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karela Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaidan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Hearts of Oak Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karela 31 / 100
Hearts of Oak 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karela Hearts of Oak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karela's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hearts of Oak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 31% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Karela stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karela VS Hearts of Oak
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karela

(Home)
01 Oct
Asante Kotoko
1 : 0
Karela
26 Sept
Karela
1 : 0
Hearts of Oak
20 Sept
Aduana Stars
2 : 1
Karela
13 Sept
Karela
3 : 1
Bechem United
06 Sept
Samartex
3 : 1
Karela
Page 1 of 6

Hearts of Oak

(Away)
03 Oct
Dreams FC
0 : 0
Hearts of Oak
26 Sept
Karela
1 : 0
Hearts of Oak
20 Sept
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0
Bechem United
13 Sept
Bibiani Gold Stars
1 : 2
Hearts of Oak
06 Sept
Hearts of Oak
4 : 0
Berekum Chelsea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
2 Samartex 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
3 Port City 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
4 Aduana Stars 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
5 Holy Stars 5 3 0 2 4:5 9
6 Hearts of Oak 5 2 2 1 6:2 8
7 Heart of Lions 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Swedru All Blacks 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
9 Asante Kotoko 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Ashanti 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
11 Bechem United 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
12 Karela 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
13 Vision 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
14 Debibi United 5 1 1 3 6:6 4
15 Bibiani Gold Stars 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Berekum Chelsea 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 Young Apostles 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
18 Dreams FC 5 0 2 3 5:9 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)