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Karela vs Samartex

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 Naa Sheriga Sports Centre, Nalerigu
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Kyei S.
50' Event
Boateng C.
61'
Sub
Abdulai H. In: Zakari A.
Out: Abdulai H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Karela and Samartex finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samartex.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Karela
39%
Draws
31%
Samartex
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Samartex's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Karela have produced (0.88).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Karela Clean Sheet 68%
Samartex Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karela Samartex
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Premier League
Karela vs Samartex
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Karela
1:1
Apr 16, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Karela
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Premier League
Karela vs Samartex
1:1
Jun 9, 2024 Premier League
Karela vs Samartex
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Samartex Compare

Top Goalscorer Boateng C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karela 41 / 100
Samartex 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karela Samartex

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karela's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Karela has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Samartex registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karela VS Samartex
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karela

(Home)
24 May
Karela
0 : 1
Nations FC
17 May
Karela
1 : 0
Swedru All Blacks
10 May
Vision
3 : 0
Karela
06 May
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0
Karela
03 May
Karela
2 : 1
Young Apostles
Page 1 of 6

Samartex

(Away)
24 May
Young Apostles
2 : 0
Samartex
17 May
Samartex
1 : 0
Hearts of Oak
10 May
Heart of Lions
3 : 0
Samartex
06 May
Bibiani Gold Stars
2 : 0
Samartex
03 May
Samartex
3 : 1
Holy Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 52:28 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 46:40 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 25:15 54
4 Dreams FC 34 15 7 12 49:32 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 26:25 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 29:24 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 35:33 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 41:29 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 32:33 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 38:39 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 38:34 47
12 Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 30:39 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 37:37 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 36:33 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 34:31 45
16 Nations FC 34 12 8 14 30:31 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 22:50 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 26:73 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)