Sport Picks

Guinea

Ligue 1

ASFAG

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Karfamoriah play ASFAG in the Ligue 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karfamoriah averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. ASFAG averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Karfamoriah won 1, ASFAG won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Karfamoriah and 1.25 for ASFAG. This points to a Karfamoriah double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Karfamoriah

23%

Draws

35%

ASFAG

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Karfamoriah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Karfamoriah picked up more points recently compared to ASFAG.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Karfamoriah Clean Sheet 19%

ASFAG Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Karfamoriah	ASFAG
Matches Played	26	30
Wins	7	9
Draws	7	6
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	0.92	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 1

ASFAG vs Karfamoriah

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Dec 11, 2025 Ligue 1

Karfamoriah vs ASFAG

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karfamoriah 42 / 100

ASFAG 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Karfamoriah ASFAG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Karfamoriah or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karfamoriah attacking → ← attacking ASFAG

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karfamoriah scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

ASFAG let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Karfamoriah went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ASFAG lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 33

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Horoya	26	17	5	4	42:19	56
2	Hafia	26	15	7	4	34:16	52
3	CI Kamsar	26	15	3	8	37:21	48
4	Kaloum Star	26	12	8	6	31:18	44
5	Milo FC	26	11	10	5	33:18	43
6	Wakriya AC	26	8	9	9	22:26	33
7	ASFAG	26	9	5	12	31:35	32
8	Foot Elite	26	8	6	12	30:41	30
9	Sangaredi	26	7	8	11	22:28	29
10	Ashanti GB (SAG)	26	7	8	11	23:32	29
11	RCC Kamsar	26	7	7	12	25:31	28
12	Karfamoriah	26	7	7	12	24:33	28
13	Renaissance	26	6	8	12	20:35	26
14	Loubha	26	4	7	15	14:35	19