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Kari vs KFG Gardabaer

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gunnarsson M.
18' Event
Gunnarsson M.
29' Event
Bergthorsson S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Kari and KFG Gardabaer finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Kari
30%
Draws
6%
KFG Gardabaer
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kari come out ahead of KFG Gardabaer on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Kari taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kari have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85.80000000000001%
Kari Clean Sheet 20%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kari KFG Gardabaer
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.54 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.04 2.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Kari
1:5
May 2, 2026 Division 2
Kari vs KFG Gardabaer
5:1
Aug 17, 2025 Division 2
Kari vs KFG Gardabaer
4:3
Jun 9, 2025 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Kari
3:1
Aug 30, 2019 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Kari
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kari Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunnarsson M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bergthorsson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Asmundsson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kari 85 / 100
KFG Gardabaer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kari KFG Gardabaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kari found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

KFG Gardabaer let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kari remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kari VS KFG Gardabaer
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kari

(Home)
15 Aug
Kari
4 : 1
Olafsvik
08 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 1
Kari
29 Jul
Kari
1 : 1
Kormakur/Hvot
24 Jul
Hviti
1 : 3
Kari
17 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
1 : 5
Kari
Page 1 of 6

KFG Gardabaer

(Away)
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4
KFA
08 Aug
Fjolnir
4 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
29 Jul
Haukar
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
25 Jul
Magni
1 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
17 Jul
KFG Gardabaer
1 : 5
Kari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 17 12 2 3 43:22 38
2 Selfoss 17 9 5 3 40:31 32
3 Kari 17 7 8 2 45:27 29
4 Fjolnir 17 7 4 6 42:38 25
5 Olafsvik 17 7 4 6 24:29 25
6 Kormakur/Hvot 17 6 6 5 34:24 24
7 Dalvik/Reynir 17 6 3 8 25:28 21
8 Magni 17 6 3 8 30:42 21
9 KFA 17 6 2 9 38:35 20
10 Throttur Vogar 17 6 1 10 28:33 19
11 Hviti 17 3 7 7 21:32 16
12 KFG Gardabaer 17 4 1 12 24:53 13
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)