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Karitsa vs AE Iraklis Larissa

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021
Sun, Mar 21, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karitsa host AE Iraklis Larissa in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021. This one's hard to separate. Karitsa have averaged 2 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against AE Iraklis Larissa's 1 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Karitsa have won 1 to AE Iraklis Larissa's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 16, 2021, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 0.94, favoring Karitsa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Karitsa
15%
Draws
21%
AE Iraklis Larissa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Karitsa have won more games recently than AE Iraklis Larissa.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Karitsa taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Karitsa Clean Sheet 20%
AE Iraklis Larissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karitsa AE Iraklis Larissa
Matches Played 16 36
Wins 13 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 1 17
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
AE Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa
1:2
Mar 21, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Karitsa vs AE Iraklis Larissa
0:0
Mar 22, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Karitsa vs AE Iraklis Larissa
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
AE Iraklis Larissa vs Karitsa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karitsa 85 / 100
AE Iraklis Larissa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karitsa AE Iraklis Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karitsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karitsa scored in 94% of their last 16 games.

Defensive concern: AE Iraklis Larissa conceded in 61% of 36 recent games.

Solid form: Karitsa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

AE Iraklis Larissa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karitsa VS AE Iraklis Larissa
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karitsa

(Home)
26 Sept
Karitsa
2 : 1
Sarakinos Volos
06 Jun
Aetos Makrychoriou
1 : 2
Karitsa
30 May
Karitsa
1 : 3
Karditsa
26 May
Elassona
0 : 2
Karitsa
23 May
Karitsa
1 : 0
Fikis
Page 1 of 4

AE Iraklis Larissa

(Away)
26 Sept
Pierikos
3 : 1
AE Iraklis Larissa
17 Jun
Veria
3 : 0
AE Iraklis Larissa
10 Jun
AE Iraklis Larissa
0 : 0
Makedonikos Neapolis
03 Jun
Panathinaikos B
3 : 1
AE Iraklis Larissa
28 May
AE Iraklis Larissa
2 : 0
Panserraikos
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 14 12 2 0 40:5 38
2 Karitsa 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
3 Ethnikos Neou 14 8 1 5 16:17 25
4 Aetos Makrychoriou 14 7 3 4 24:11 24
5 Kozani FC 14 6 5 3 17:15 23
6 Atromitos Palamas 14 6 4 4 17:14 22
7 AE Iraklis Larissa 14 6 2 6 23:15 20
8 Fikis 14 6 2 6 22:17 20
9 Elassona 14 5 4 5 16:16 19
10 Sellana 14 5 1 8 15:15 16
11 Dias Diou FC 14 3 4 7 11:23 13
12 Ermis Amyntaio 14 3 3 8 12:36 12
13 Meteora 14 2 4 8 11:24 10
14 Oikonomos 14 2 3 9 14:29 9
15 Makedonikos Foufas 14 3 0 11 12:34 9
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)