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Karitsa vs Ethnikos Neou Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021
Sun, Jan 31, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karitsa host Ethnikos Neou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ethnikos Neou have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Karitsa have conceded 0.5 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Karitsa slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.69 - 2.00) back Karitsa to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Karitsa
15%
Draws
28%
Ethnikos Neou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethnikos Neou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Karitsa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Karitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karitsa Ethnikos Neou
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 2 2.23
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Karitsa vs Ethnikos Neou
0:0
Oct 25, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Ethnikos Neou vs Karitsa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karitsa 83 / 100
Ethnikos Neou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karitsa Ethnikos Neou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karitsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karitsa scored in 94% of their last 16 outings.

Ethnikos Neou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Karitsa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karitsa VS Ethnikos Neou
2 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Karitsa

(Home)
26 Sept
Karitsa
2 : 1
Sarakinos Volos
06 Jun
Aetos Makrychoriou
1 : 2
Karitsa
30 May
Karitsa
1 : 3
Karditsa
26 May
Elassona
0 : 2
Karitsa
23 May
Karitsa
1 : 0
Fikis
Page 1 of 4

Ethnikos Neou

(Away)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 14 12 2 0 40:5 38
2 Karitsa 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
3 Ethnikos Neou 14 8 1 5 16:17 25
4 Aetos Makrychoriou 14 7 3 4 24:11 24
5 Kozani FC 14 6 5 3 17:15 23
6 Atromitos Palamas 14 6 4 4 17:14 22
7 AE Iraklis Larissa 14 6 2 6 23:15 20
8 Fikis 14 6 2 6 22:17 20
9 Elassona 14 5 4 5 16:16 19
10 Sellana 14 5 1 8 15:15 16
11 Dias Diou FC 14 3 4 7 11:23 13
12 Ermis Amyntaio 14 3 3 8 12:36 12
13 Meteora 14 2 4 8 11:24 10
14 Oikonomos 14 2 3 9 14:29 9
15 Makedonikos Foufas 14 3 0 11 12:34 9
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)