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Karitsa vs Sarakinos Volos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karitsa host Sarakinos Volos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Karitsa have averaged 2 scored and 0.47 conceded recently, against Sarakinos Volos's 1.33 scored and 1.48 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.60 vs 1.05, favoring Karitsa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Karitsa
15%
Draws
39%
Sarakinos Volos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Karitsa have won more games recently than Sarakinos Volos.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Karitsa Clean Sheet 20%
Sarakinos Volos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karitsa Sarakinos Volos
Matches Played 15 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 2 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karitsa 32 / 100
Sarakinos Volos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karitsa Sarakinos Volos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarakinos Volos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karitsa scored in 93% of their last 15 games.

Defensive concern: Sarakinos Volos conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Karitsa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sarakinos Volos's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Karitsa VS Sarakinos Volos
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karitsa

(Home)
06 Jun
Aetos Makrychoriou
1 : 2
Karitsa
30 May
Karitsa
1 : 3
Karditsa
26 May
Elassona
0 : 2
Karitsa
23 May
Karitsa
1 : 0
Fikis
16 May
AE Iraklis Larissa
1 : 2
Karitsa
Page 1 of 3

Sarakinos Volos

(Away)
08 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
1 : 0
Kozani FC
05 Apr
Eordaikos
0 : 0
Sarakinos Volos
01 Apr
Sarakinos Volos
2 : 0
Evosmou
28 Mar
Akrites Sykeon
1 : 0
Sarakinos Volos
22 Mar
Sarakinos Volos
6 : 1
Asteras Karditsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pierikos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 AO Trikala 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Elassona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Feraios 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Karitsa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Digenis Neochori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Ethnikos Neou 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Anthoupoli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 AE Iraklis Larissa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Sarakinos Volos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Ermis Exochis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Losers stage)