Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Pniowek Pawlowice

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Pojasek M.
44'
Pojasek M.
45' Event
Szostek P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora host Pniowek Pawlowice in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora at 2 goals for, 1.88 against; Pniowek Pawlowice at 0.25 for, 3.25 against. Past meetings favor Karkonosze Jelenia Gora slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.63 - 1.06) back Karkonosze Jelenia Gora to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
6%
Draws
4%
Pniowek Pawlowice
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Karkonosze Jelenia Gora has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pniowek Pawlowice.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Karkonosze Jelenia Gora.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 20%
Pniowek Pawlowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Pniowek Pawlowice
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 2 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Pniowek Pawlowice
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
3:1
May 1, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Pniowek Pawlowice
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
4:0
Nov 25, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Pniowek Pawlowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Cieslik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Pniowek Pawlowice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 85 / 100
Pniowek Pawlowice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Pniowek Pawlowice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Pniowek Pawlowice let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pniowek Pawlowice lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora VS Pniowek Pawlowice
2 Goals Scored 0.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057