Sport Picks
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Polonia Nysa
Poland
III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 
Match Events
38'
38'
Kasprzyk D.
61'
61'
Borkala R.
80'
80'
Ratajski M.
AI Match Summary
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karkonosze Jelenia Gora.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Karkonosze Jelenia Gora lately — more wins on the board than Polonia Nysa.
- Model gives Karkonosze Jelenia Gora a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 16%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | Polonia Nysa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Polonia Nysa
3:1
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare
Top Goalscorer Kasprzyk D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Borkala R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Polonia Nysa Compare
Top Goalscorer Lechowicz M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 39 / 100
Polonia Nysa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Polonia Nysa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Polonia Nysa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora VS Polonia Nysa
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
(Home) 25 Jul
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 3 Legnica II
11 Jul
Zaglebie II
0 : 4 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
08 Jul
Woliborz
3 : 0 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
04 Jul
Polkowice
1 : 3 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
30 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0 Gornik Zabrze II
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 3 Legnica II
30 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0 Gornik Zabrze II
17 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
3 : 1 Polonia Nysa
08 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
0 : 1 Goczalkowice Zdroj
25 Apr
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 1 Legnica II
Page 1 of 3
Polonia Nysa
(Away) 25 Jul
Olawa
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
24 Jul
Brzeg
2 : 0 Polonia Nysa
18 Jul
Strzegom
0 : 0 Polonia Nysa
15 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0 : 2 Polonia Nysa
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Olawa
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
24 Jul
Brzeg
2 : 0 Polonia Nysa
18 Jul
Strzegom
0 : 0 Polonia Nysa
15 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0 : 2 Polonia Nysa
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zielona Gora | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 77:17 | 73 |
| 2 | Polkowice | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 64:42 | 67 |
| 3 | BKS Sparta Katowice | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:34 | 62 |
| 4 | Skra Czestochowa | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:56 | 59 |
| 5 | Zaglebie II | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 77:61 | 57 |
| 6 | Goczalkowice Zdroj | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 49:46 | 54 |
| 7 | Kluczbork | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 67:43 | 52 |
| 8 | Warta Gorzow | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 54:47 | 52 |
| 9 | Gornik Zabrze II | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 73:44 | 51 |
| 10 | Sleza Wroclaw | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:57 | 49 |
| 11 | Woliborz | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48:49 | 48 |
| 12 | Carina Gubin | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:51 | 47 |
| 13 | Legnica II | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63:58 | 46 |
| 14 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 57:56 | 45 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 51:58 | 37 |
| 16 | Starowice Dolne | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 33:81 | 27 |
| 17 | Pniowek Pawlowice | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 28:77 | 19 |
| 18 | Stal Jasien | 34 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 21:105 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)