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Karlbergs vs FBK Karlstad Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Stadshagens IP, Vasastaden
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Hana G.
51'
Sundgren R.
53'
Bjork N.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Karlbergs and FBK Karlstad finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Karlbergs
35%
Draws
37%
FBK Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FBK Karlstad come out ahead of Karlbergs on wins alone.
  • Model gives FBK Karlstad a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 12%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlbergs FBK Karlstad
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs FBK Karlstad
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs FBK Karlstad
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Karlbergs
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlbergs Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitku M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FBK Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Hana G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 14 / 100
FBK Karlstad 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlbergs FBK Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlbergs found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

FBK Karlstad has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Karlbergs remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karlbergs VS FBK Karlstad
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlbergs

(Home)
02 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 2
Sollentuna
27 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 1
Karlbergs
20 Sept
Karlbergs
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

FBK Karlstad

(Away)
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
19 Sept
FBK Karlstad
0 : 0
Sollentuna
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
3 Hammarby TFF 24 13 6 5 50:23 45
4 FC Arlanda 24 13 6 5 42:27 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
10 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
11 Umea FC 24 8 5 11 32:40 29
12 Vasalund 24 7 6 11 35:48 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)