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Karlbergs vs FC Arlanda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Stadshagens IP, Vasastaden
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Johansson E.
26'
Sub
Saeed A. In: Giordano Eriksson I.
Out: Saeed A.
51' Event
Jemal A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Karlbergs and FC Arlanda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlbergs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Karlbergs
20%
Draws
56%
FC Arlanda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlbergs haven't matched FC Arlanda's recent run of results.
  • FC Arlanda are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 10%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlbergs FC Arlanda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs FC Arlanda
1:0
May 13, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Karlbergs
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlbergs vs FC Arlanda
3:2
Aug 9, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs FC Arlanda
1:3
Jun 19, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Karlbergs
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlbergs Compare

Top Goalscorer Jemal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FC Arlanda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 14 / 100
FC Arlanda 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlbergs FC Arlanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Arlanda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlbergs's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FC Arlanda has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Karlbergs stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlbergs VS FC Arlanda
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlbergs

(Home)
10 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 3
Vasalund
02 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 2
Sollentuna
27 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 1
Karlbergs
20 Sept
Karlbergs
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
Page 1 of 6

FC Arlanda

(Away)
10 Oct
Karlstad
3 : 0
FC Arlanda
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
27 Sept
FC Arlanda
2 : 0
Enkopings SK
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 19 3 4 63:21 60
2 FC Arlanda 26 14 6 6 46:31 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 26 14 5 7 48:37 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 Karlstad 26 12 8 6 40:25 44
6 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
7 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
8 Karlbergs 26 9 6 11 36:44 33
9 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
10 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 26 7 7 12 39:55 28
13 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 26 3 6 17 45:64 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)