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Nykopings

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Karlbergs play Nykopings in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karlbergs averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Nykopings averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Karlbergs won 1, Nykopings won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Karlbergs and 1.38 for Nykopings. This points to a Nykopings double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Karlbergs

26%

Draws

40%

Nykopings

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Nykopings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Karlbergs picked up more points recently compared to Nykopings.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Karlbergs Clean Sheet 17%

Nykopings Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Karlbergs	Nykopings
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	16
Draws	7	6
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1.86	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.66	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly

Karlbergs vs Nykopings

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

7:1

Sep 24, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Nykopings vs Karlbergs

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

May 26, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Karlbergs vs Nykopings

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 34 / 100

Nykopings 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Karlbergs Nykopings

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nykopings or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karlbergs attacking → ← attacking Nykopings

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlbergs scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Nykopings let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Karlbergs went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nykopings lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 54

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88