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Stadium Background

Karlburg vs Ingolstadt II

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlburg play Ingolstadt II in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025. Ingolstadt II are favorites here. Recently, Karlburg averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Ingolstadt II averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Karlburg won 0, Ingolstadt II won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 16, 2024 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Karlburg and 1.68 for Ingolstadt II. This points to a Ingolstadt II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Karlburg
17%
Draws
70%
Ingolstadt II
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ingolstadt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Karlburg picked up more points recently compared to Ingolstadt II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.68 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Karlburg Clean Sheet 13%
Ingolstadt II Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlburg Ingolstadt II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.87 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs Ingolstadt II
1:4
Aug 3, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Ingolstadt II vs Karlburg
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlburg Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ingolstadt II Compare

Top Goalscorer Klanac L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ackermann T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlburg 14 / 100
Ingolstadt II 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlburg Ingolstadt II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ingolstadt II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ingolstadt II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karlburg attacking → ← attacking Ingolstadt II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlburg scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Ingolstadt II let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Karlburg went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ingolstadt II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 50
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vfb Eichstatt34235674:3374
2Eltersdorf342110356:2473
3Ingolstadt II34206870:4666
4ATSV Erlangen34188852:3662
5Cham341510960:4355
6Fortuna Regensburg341581184:5853
7Weiden341481247:4050
8TSV Kornburg341381358:5347
9Neudrossenfeld3412101249:5746
10Wurzburger FV3412101250:5846
11Bayern Hof3411101343:4043
12ASV Neumarkt341341739:4943
13Regensburg II3410111348:5141
14Abtswind3410101446:5140
15DJK Ammerthal34981743:5135
16Gebenbach348111552:7135
17Munchberg34552430:8320
18Karlburg34362530:8715