Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlburg vs Weiden

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gohlert M.
48' Event
Lang N.
51' Event
Lang N.

AI Match Summary

Weiden in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Weiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Karlburg
15%
Draws
73%
Weiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Weiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Weiden lately — more wins on the board than Karlburg.
  • Win probability leans Weiden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Karlburg Clean Sheet 19%
Weiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlburg Weiden
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs Weiden
0:4
Oct 19, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Karlburg
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Weiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Lang N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gohlert M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlburg 10 / 100
Weiden 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlburg Weiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weiden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Weiden let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Weiden has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Karlburg found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Weiden
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlburg

(Home)
17 May
Karlburg
0 : 4
Weiden
09 May
TSV Kornburg
6 : 1
Karlburg
02 May
Abtswind
4 : 1
Karlburg
25 Apr
Karlburg
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Apr
Cham
2 : 0
Karlburg
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Weiden

(Away)
26 Sept
Regensburg II
3 : 1
Weiden
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3
Gebenbach
12 Sept
Stadeln
0 : 3
Weiden
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
29 Aug
Weiden
1 : 0
Grossbardorf
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vfb Eichstatt 34 23 5 6 74:33 74
2 Eltersdorf 34 21 10 3 56:24 73
3 Ingolstadt II 34 20 6 8 70:46 66
4 ATSV Erlangen 34 18 8 8 52:36 62
5 Cham 34 15 10 9 60:43 55
6 Fortuna Regensburg 34 15 8 11 84:58 53
7 Weiden 34 14 8 12 47:40 50
8 TSV Kornburg 34 13 8 13 58:53 47
9 Neudrossenfeld 34 12 10 12 49:57 46
10 Wurzburger FV 34 12 10 12 50:58 46
11 Bayern Hof 34 11 10 13 43:40 43
12 ASV Neumarkt 34 13 4 17 39:49 43
13 Regensburg II 34 10 11 13 48:51 41
14 Abtswind 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
15 DJK Ammerthal 34 9 8 17 43:51 35
16 Gebenbach 34 8 11 15 52:71 35
17 Munchberg 34 5 5 24 30:83 20
18 Karlburg 34 3 6 25 30:87 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)