Sport Picks

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Karlivka vs FC Nikopol

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlivka play FC Nikopol in the Druha Liga 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karlivka averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. FC Nikopol averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Karlivka won 1, FC Nikopol won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 30, 2013 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Karlivka and 0.61 for FC Nikopol. This points to a Karlivka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Karlivka
17%
Draws
38%
FC Nikopol
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Karlivka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlivka picked up more points recently compared to FC Nikopol.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Karlivka Clean Sheet 29%
FC Nikopol Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlivka FC Nikopol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2013 Druha Liga
Karlivka vs FC Nikopol
2:0
Aug 11, 2013 Druha Liga
FC Nikopol vs Karlivka
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlivka 46 / 100
FC Nikopol 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlivka FC Nikopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Karlivka or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karlivka attacking → ← attacking FC Nikopol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlivka scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

FC Nikopol let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Karlivka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Nikopol lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 33
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hirnyk-Sport36254768:3179
2Stal Kamianske36238581:3277
3FK Ternopil362011556:2771
4Kryvbas Krivoy Rog362010649:3670
5Shakhter Sverdlovsk361910748:2967
6Cherkashchyna362051149:3365
7Kremin361971054:2864
8Obolon361612851:3460
9Krystal361581351:4853
10Shakhtar 3361721750:5053
11Real Pharma Odesa361451730:5747
12Karlivka361351831:4844
13FC Nikopol361261833:5042
14Myr Hornostajivka361142132:2737
15Arsenal Bila Tserkva36972027:5734
16Nova Kakhovka36942338:8531
17Enerhiya Mykolajiv36932424:2830
18Skala Stryj36832522:6027
19FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi36323118:5211