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Karlovac vs Jarun

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek, Karlovac
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Petkovic F. In: Buzic M.
Out: Petkovic F.
14' Event
Jelic G.
21'
Sub
Gaspar M. In: Kapulica L.
Out: Gaspar M.

AI Match Summary

The Prva NL 2025/2026 game between Karlovac and Jarun finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlovac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Karlovac
35%
Draws
22%
Jarun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karlovac come out ahead of Jarun on wins alone.
  • Model gives Karlovac a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 68%
Jarun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlovac Jarun
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Jarun
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Prva NL
Jarun vs Karlovac
3:1
Aug 15, 2025 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Jarun
2:0
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Jarun vs Karlovac
2:1
May 5, 2021 3. HNL Center
Jarun vs Karlovac
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlovac Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuljevic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raguz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Jarun Compare

Top Goalscorer Jelic G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlovac 59 / 100
Jarun 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlovac Jarun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Karlovac's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Karlovac has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karlovac VS Jarun
1.25 Goals Scored 1.4
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlovac

(Home)
29 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Opatija
26 Aug
Tigar Sveta Nedelja
1 : 4
Karlovac
21 Aug
Sesvete
3 : 0
Karlovac
14 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 2
Trnje
08 Aug
Karlovac
1 : 1
Pazinka
Page 1 of 6

Jarun

(Away)
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
25 Jul
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 1
Jarun
18 Jul
Mladost Zdralovi
3 : 1
Jarun
30 May
Jarun
1 : 1
Cibalia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 49:29 65
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 51:33 58
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 42:28 57
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 40:38 54
5 Dubrava Zagreb 33 13 8 12 39:46 47
6 Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 30:30 42
7 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 40:45 42
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 31:38 40
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 40:41 38
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36:48 36
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 32:46 35
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 34:42 33
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)