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Stadium Background

Karlovac vs Lukavec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Karlovac Logo

Karlovac

5 - 1
FT
Lukavec Logo

Lukavec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Karlovac and Lukavec finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlovac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Karlovac
35%
Draws
13%
Lukavec
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlovac carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Karlovac are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 16%
Lukavec Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlovac Lukavec
Matches Played 50 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2022 3. HNL Center
Karlovac vs Lukavec
5:1
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL Center
Lukavec vs Karlovac
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlovac 84 / 100
Lukavec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlovac Lukavec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lukavec let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Karlovac scored in 68% of their last 50 games.

Karlovac went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlovac VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlovac

(Home)
02 Sept
Dugopolje
2 : 2
Karlovac
29 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Opatija
26 Aug
Tigar Sveta Nedelja
1 : 4
Karlovac
21 Aug
Sesvete
3 : 0
Karlovac
14 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 2
Trnje
Page 1 of 10

Lukavec

(Away)
12 Feb
Belisce
2 : 1
Lukavec
28 May
HASK
3 : 0
Lukavec
21 May
Lukavec
0 : 3
Trnje
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)