Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Holgersson H.
50' Event
Gillen J.
58' Event
Gillen J.

AI Match Summary

Karlskrona in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlskrona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Karlskrona
15%
Draws
34%
Nosaby IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlskrona have won more games recently than Nosaby IF.
  • Karlskrona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 20%
Nosaby IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlskrona Nosaby IF
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.23 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF
5:1
Jun 6, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Karlskrona
3:1
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF
1:1
May 11, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Karlskrona
0:4
Aug 9, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Karlskrona
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Gillen J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nennesson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Nosaby IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Holgersson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlskrona 85 / 100
Nosaby IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlskrona Nosaby IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlskrona scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Karlskrona remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Nosaby IF conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Karlskrona VS Nosaby IF
3.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlskrona

(Home)
04 Oct
Karlskrona
2 : 1
Linero IF
26 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 4
Karlskrona
19 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 0
Oskarshamn
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
Page 1 of 7

Nosaby IF

(Away)
02 Oct
Lilla Torg
2 : 3
Nosaby IF
26 Sept
Nosaby IF
3 : 0
Staffanstorp United
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
05 Sept
Oskarshamn
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 24 19 3 2 63:21 60
2 IFK Trelleborg 24 15 5 4 51:23 50
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 IFK Berga 24 12 4 8 52:36 40
5 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
6 Linero IF 24 12 2 10 45:41 38
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 24 8 6 10 37:41 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 24 4 6 14 25:53 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)