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Stadium Background

Karlskrona vs Solvesborgs

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bjornson L.

AI Match Summary

Karlskrona in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlskrona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Karlskrona
15%
Draws
32%
Solvesborgs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Solvesborgs haven't matched Karlskrona's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Karlskrona a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 20%
Solvesborgs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlskrona Solvesborgs
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Solvesborgs vs Karlskrona
0:2
May 1, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Solvesborgs
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Solvesborgs
1:1
May 31, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Solvesborgs vs Karlskrona
2:0
Nov 13, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Solvesborgs
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjornson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Solvesborgs Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlskrona 85 / 100
Solvesborgs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlskrona Solvesborgs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlskrona went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Karlskrona found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solvesborgs has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Karlskrona VS Solvesborgs
3.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlskrona

(Home)
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
22 Aug
Karlskrona
5 : 0
Vaxjo Norra
15 Aug
Lilla Torg
1 : 4
Karlskrona
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Solvesborgs

(Away)
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
05 Sept
Rappe GOIF
2 : 3
Solvesborgs
28 Aug
Linero IF
1 : 0
Solvesborgs
25 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 2
Solvesborgs
21 Aug
Solvesborgs
2 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 21 16 3 2 55:19 51
2 Oskarshamn 21 13 3 5 55:24 42
3 IFK Trelleborg 21 12 5 4 41:19 41
4 Linero IF 22 11 2 9 39:38 35
5 IFK Berga 21 10 4 7 43:32 34
6 Vaxjo Norra 21 9 6 6 30:30 33
7 Nosaby IF 21 9 5 7 39:37 32
8 Osterlen FF 22 8 5 9 34:35 29
9 Lilla Torg 22 6 9 7 28:35 27
10 Solvesborgs 21 8 1 12 31:36 25
11 Staffanstorp United 22 5 8 9 33:38 23
12 Torns 21 7 0 14 29:57 21
13 Rappe GOIF 21 3 5 13 22:49 14
14 IFK Karlshamn 21 3 2 16 22:52 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)