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Karlsruher vs Darmstadt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlsruher host Darmstadt in the 2. Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Karlsruher at 1.48 goals for, 2.04 against; Darmstadt at 2.07 for, 1.59 against. Head-to-head, Karlsruher have won 1 to Darmstadt's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.88) point toward Darmstadt. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Karlsruher
15%
Draws
59%
Darmstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Darmstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Darmstadt come out ahead of Karlsruher on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Darmstadt taking it.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Karlsruher Clean Sheet 10%
Darmstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlsruher Darmstadt
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.48 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher vs Darmstadt
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Karlsruher
3:2
Mar 7, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Karlsruher
3:0
Oct 4, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher vs Darmstadt
3:3
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Karlsruher vs Darmstadt
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlsruher 22 / 100
Darmstadt 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlsruher Darmstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Darmstadt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darmstadt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Karlsruher scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Karlsruher stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlsruher VS Darmstadt
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlsruher

(Home)
02 Oct
Wehen
1 : 2
Karlsruher
19 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 1
Nurnberg
13 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 3
Energie Cottbus
04 Sept
Hannover
2 : 2
Karlsruher
29 Aug
Karlsruher
2 : 5
Wolfsburg
Page 1 of 6

Darmstadt

(Away)
10 Oct
Darmstadt
3 : 1
Energie Cottbus
30 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 7
Darmstadt
18 Sept
Wolfsburg
5 : 1
Darmstadt
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
05 Sept
Kaiserslautern
3 : 0
Darmstadt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 7 4 2 1 14:12 14
4 Kaiserslautern 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 Braunschweig 7 2 1 4 13:13 7
9 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
10 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
11 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
14 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
15 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
16 Holstein Kiel 7 0 4 3 7:11 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)