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Karlsruher vs Thun

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Jan 4, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlsruher host Thun in the Club Friendly. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Thun have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Karlsruher have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Karlsruher have won 2 to Thun's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 4, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.81) point toward Thun. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Karlsruher
44%
Draws
20%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlsruher haven't matched Thun's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Karlsruher Clean Sheet 11%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlsruher Thun
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlsruher vs Thun
0:0
Sep 5, 2014 Club Friendly
Thun vs Karlsruher
0:5
Oct 11, 2012 Club Friendly
Karlsruher vs Thun
1:0
Jul 7, 2010 Club Friendly
Thun vs Karlsruher
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlsruher 35 / 100
Thun 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlsruher Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thun has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Karlsruher scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Karlsruher went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlsruher VS Thun
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlsruher

(Home)
26 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 2
Inter
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 3
Shimizu S-Pulse
09 Jul
Karlsruher
4 : 4
Freiberg
17 May
Karlsruher
1 : 2
Bochum
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Thun

(Away)
28 Jul
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Thun
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
21 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Din. Zagreb
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
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