Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlstad II vs Motala

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Abdimalik I.
31' Event
Qasem K.
64' Event
Bellani A.

AI Match Summary

Motala in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Karlstad II
35%
Draws
39%
Motala
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Motala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Karlstad II haven't matched Motala's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 10%
Motala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad II Motala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Karlstad II
2:2
Jun 21, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Motala
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlstad II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Motala Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdimalik I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Qasem K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad II 30 / 100
Motala 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad II Motala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motala let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Karlstad II scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Karlstad II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad II VS Motala
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlstad II

(Home)
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
12 Sept
Karlstad II
1 : 4
Skara
05 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 2
Karlstad II
29 Aug
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Vanersborgs FK
23 Aug
Motala
2 : 2
Karlstad II
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Motala

(Away)
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
30 Aug
IFK Skovde
3 : 2
Motala
23 Aug
Motala
2 : 2
Karlstad II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 22 18 3 1 51:17 57
2 Skara 22 15 5 2 47:22 50
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 22 11 3 8 39:32 36
6 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 22 8 6 8 37:29 30
8 Vanersborgs FK 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
9 Lidkoping 22 6 6 10 28:41 24
10 Motala 22 5 8 9 29:32 23
11 Kumla 22 5 7 10 21:39 22
12 Tord 22 3 9 10 25:37 18
13 Karlstad II 22 2 7 13 23:43 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 23 2 3 18 24:65 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)