Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlstad II vs Skara

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Fellrath Y.
51' Event
Fellrath Y.
71' Event
Fridlund J.

AI Match Summary

Skara in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Karlstad II
35%
Draws
50%
Skara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Skara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skara lately — more wins on the board than Karlstad II.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Skara taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 10%
Skara Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad II Skara
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.31 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Skara
1:4
Apr 19, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Karlstad II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlstad II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fridlund J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Skara Compare

Top Goalscorer Fellrath Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Hamad Eriksson A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad II 10 / 100
Skara 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad II Skara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karlstad II scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Skara has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Karlstad II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad II VS Skara
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlstad II

(Home)
12 Sept
Karlstad II
1 : 4
Skara
05 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 2
Karlstad II
29 Aug
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Vanersborgs FK
23 Aug
Motala
2 : 2
Karlstad II
16 Aug
Karlstad II
0 : 0
Lidkoping
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Skara

(Away)
12 Sept
Karlstad II
1 : 4
Skara
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
29 Aug
Lidkoping
1 : 1
Skara
22 Aug
Skara
2 : 1
Tord
14 Aug
Husqvarna
1 : 0
Skara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 22 18 3 1 51:17 57
2 Skara 22 15 5 2 47:22 50
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 22 10 7 5 47:25 37
5 Grebbestad 22 11 3 8 39:32 36
6 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 22 8 6 8 37:29 30
8 Vanersborgs FK 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
9 Lidkoping 22 6 6 10 28:41 24
10 Motala 22 5 8 9 29:32 23
11 Kumla 22 5 7 10 21:39 22
12 Tord 22 3 9 10 25:37 18
13 Karlstad II 22 2 7 13 23:43 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 22 2 3 17 23:63 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)