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Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlstad II host Vanersborgs IF in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Vanersborgs IF have shipped 2.76 goals a game lately, while Karlstad II have conceded 2.38 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Karlstad II slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.44) point toward Karlstad II. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Karlstad II
15%
Draws
0%
Vanersborgs IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlstad II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vanersborgs IF lately — more wins on the board than Karlstad II.
  • Karlstad II are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Karlstad II Clean Sheet 16%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad II Vanersborgs IF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.21 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Karlstad II
1:4
Aug 9, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Karlstad II
1:0
Apr 18, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Karlstad II vs Vanersborgs IF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad II 75 / 100
Vanersborgs IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad II Vanersborgs IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlstad II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanersborgs IF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Vanersborgs IF has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Karlstad II found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad II VS Vanersborgs IF
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlstad II

(Home)
04 Oct
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Tord
27 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Karlstad II
20 Sept
Karlstad II
0 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
12 Sept
Karlstad II
1 : 4
Skara
05 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 2
Karlstad II
Page 1 of 6

Vanersborgs IF

(Away)
03 Oct
Husqvarna
4 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
20 Sept
Lidkoping
5 : 2
Vanersborgs IF
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 24 12 3 9 43:36 39
6 Herrestads AIF 24 10 7 7 44:42 37
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 25 8 5 12 33:43 29
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 25 6 8 11 26:45 26
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)