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Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sola Arena, Karlstad
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Flodkvist A.
12'
Sub
Karlsson M. In: Kocys T.
Out: Karlsson M.
38' Event
Maasland L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Karlstad and AFC Eskilstuna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Eskilstuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Karlstad
20%
Draws
51%
AFC Eskilstuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Eskilstuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AFC Eskilstuna come out ahead of Karlstad on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AFC Eskilstuna have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Eskilstuna Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad AFC Eskilstuna
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.55 2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlstad
0:2
Mar 13, 2026 Club Friendly
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlstad
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlstad
4:3
Jun 22, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Maasland L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AFC Eskilstuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Chabo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hanson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad 30 / 100
AFC Eskilstuna 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad AFC Eskilstuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Eskilstuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Karlstad scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

AFC Eskilstuna has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Karlstad remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad VS AFC Eskilstuna
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlstad

(Home)
01 Nov
Vasalund
2 : 1
Karlstad
24 Oct
Karlstad
1 : 4
FC Stockholm Internazionale
18 Oct
Hammarby TFF
2 : 1
Karlstad
10 Oct
Karlstad
3 : 0
FC Arlanda
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

AFC Eskilstuna

(Away)
31 Oct
FC Arlanda
3 : 1
AFC Eskilstuna
25 Oct
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 0
IFK Stocksund
18 Oct
Vasalund
0 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
10 Oct
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 3
FC Stockholm Internazionale
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 29 20 4 5 69:25 64
2 FC Arlanda 29 16 6 7 53:36 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna 29 16 5 8 55:40 53
4 Enkopings SK 29 16 4 9 46:43 52
5 Hammarby TFF 29 14 7 8 55:31 49
6 FBK Karlstad 29 14 7 8 46:39 49
7 Karlstad 29 12 8 9 43:33 44
8 Umea FC 29 12 6 11 43:44 42
9 Gefle 29 11 5 13 36:47 38
10 Karlbergs 29 10 7 12 40:48 37
11 Assyriska FF 29 10 5 14 46:53 35
12 Sollentuna 29 7 10 12 30:40 31
13 Vasalund 29 8 7 14 41:62 31
14 Pitea 29 6 9 14 39:56 27
15 FC Jarfalla 29 6 6 17 40:61 24
16 IFK Stocksund 29 3 6 20 49:73 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)