Sport Picks
Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna
Sweden
Division 1 - Norra Sola Arena, Karlstad 
Match Events
3'
3'
Flodkvist A.
12'
12'
Sub
Karlsson M. In: Kocys T.
Out: Karlsson M.
38'
38'
Maasland L.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 - Norra game between Karlstad and AFC Eskilstuna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Eskilstuna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
15%
78%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Eskilstuna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AFC Eskilstuna come out ahead of Karlstad on wins alone.
- AFC Eskilstuna are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and AFC Eskilstuna have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Eskilstuna Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karlstad | AFC Eskilstuna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlstad
0:2
Mar 13, 2026 Club Friendly
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlstad
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlstad
4:3
Jun 22, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karlstad Compare
Top Goalscorer Maasland L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
AFC Eskilstuna Compare
Top Goalscorer Chabo E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hanson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karlstad 10 / 100
AFC Eskilstuna 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karlstad AFC Eskilstuna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AFC Eskilstuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: Karlstad scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.
AFC Eskilstuna has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Karlstad remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Karlstad VS AFC Eskilstuna
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Karlstad
(Home) 12 Sept
IFK Stocksund
2 : 1 Karlstad
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2 AFC Eskilstuna
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2 Karlstad
22 Aug
Sollentuna
2 : 1 Karlstad
18 Aug
Karlstad
0 : 2 Sandviken
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2 AFC Eskilstuna
18 Aug
Karlstad
0 : 2 Sandviken
15 Aug
Karlstad
0 : 2 Assyriska FF
02 Aug
Karlstad
2 : 1 Enkopings SK
24 Jul
Karlstad
4 : 1 Orebro Syrianska
Page 1 of 3
AFC Eskilstuna
(Away) 13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0 Pitea
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2 AFC Eskilstuna
29 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 1 Sollentuna
23 Aug
Karlbergs
0 : 3 AFC Eskilstuna
18 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
4 : 5 Oddevold
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2 AFC Eskilstuna
23 Aug
Karlbergs
0 : 3 AFC Eskilstuna
09 Aug
Umea FC
1 : 3 AFC Eskilstuna
26 Jun
Sollentuna
1 : 4 AFC Eskilstuna
21 Jun
Pitea
2 : 2 AFC Eskilstuna
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Stockholm Internazionale | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 48:17 | 45 |
| 2 | Hammarby TFF | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46:18 | 41 |
| 3 | AFC Eskilstuna | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 36:27 | 40 |
| 4 | Karlstad | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 33:21 | 37 |
| 5 | FBK Karlstad | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 36:32 | 37 |
| 6 | FC Arlanda | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34:25 | 36 |
| 7 | Enkopings SK | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 32:34 | 35 |
| 8 | Assyriska FF | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 35:34 | 29 |
| 9 | Karlbergs | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29:31 | 28 |
| 10 | Gefle | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:39 | 27 |
| 11 | Sollentuna | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19:28 | 23 |
| 12 | Vasalund | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 33:43 | 23 |
| 13 | Umea FC | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:37 | 23 |
| 14 | Pitea | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 24:41 | 15 |
| 15 | FC Jarfalla | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 24:47 | 15 |
| 16 | IFK Stocksund | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 41:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)
