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Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sola Arena, Karlstad
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Marigliano C.
37'
Tagoe B.
57'
Gustafsson K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Karlstad
35%
Draws
45%
FBK Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FBK Karlstad lately — more wins on the board than Karlstad.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 14%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad FBK Karlstad
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.64
Goals Conceded 1 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad
0:0
Jun 5, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Karlstad
2:3
Sep 8, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
FBK Karlstad vs Karlstad
1:1
May 31, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad
1:2
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
FBK Karlstad vs Karlstad
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad 31 / 100
FBK Karlstad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad FBK Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Karlstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Karlstad scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

FBK Karlstad has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Karlstad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad VS FBK Karlstad
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlstad

(Home)
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
27 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 1
Karlbergs
19 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 2
Karlstad
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
IFK Stocksund
2 : 1
Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

FBK Karlstad

(Away)
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
19 Sept
FBK Karlstad
0 : 0
Sollentuna
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)